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Is a “Deeper Retracement” or a Rebound Ahead for Gold?

Wednesday, December 5, 2012, 12:52pm EDT Written by GoldAlert Staff.
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Precious Metals Outlook

COMEX gold futures fell to as low as $1,686 per ounce in late morning trading on Wednesday, just as the U.S. Dollar Index reached its intra-day high of 79.845.  However, the price of gold subsequently recouped the large majority of its decline to trade near unchanged at $1,695.50.  The rebound coincided with the dollar paring its gains, as well as a broad-based rally in the commodities complex.

Nonetheless, the yellow metal remains lower this week by 1.1%, and over 5.7% below its multi-month high of $1,798.10 per ounce – reached on October 5th.  In light of gold’s weakness, several investment banks have updated their outlooks for the yellow metal in recent days.

Strategists at Standard Bank asserted that “It appears that the risk-off sentiment caused by the lack of progress in the U.S. fiscal cliff negotiations is weighing on all asset classes, even the safe-haven precious metals…We believe that the market will find it difficult to sustain upside this week, at least until this Friday’s non-farm payrolls data, unless there are significant developments on the fiscal cliff front (something which appears highly unlikely).”

(More gold price commentary, analysis and forecasts at GoldAlert Pro – http://pro.goldalert.com)

Commerzbank weighed in with its technical perspective on gold: “We will retain our bullish view (on gold)… while the November low, 200-day moving average and 50 percent retracement of the May-to-October rise at 1672.50/1661.64 underpins on a daily closing basis.  Support above this level can be seen around the 1698.52 late October low.”

BNP Paribas analyst Anne-Laure Tremblay wrote in a note to clients that “While the fundamentals for gold are strong, particularly given the Fed’s accommodative stance, the positive momentum seems to have all but disappeared for the moment.”

Tremblay went on to say that “We continue to expect a rebound from these levels although the odds in favour of a deeper retracement have increased.  It could be (due to) just plain investor fatigue, as the gold price has failed to sustain any rally in the past two months.”

Thursday, November 8, 2012, 12:23pm EDT

Aurizon Mines Reports Third Quarter Results

AURIZON MINES (ARZ.TSX, AMEX: AZK) announced financial and operating results for the third quarter of 2012, which included a net profit of C$5.5 million, or C$0.03 per share. The Canadian-based gold mining company reported production of 29,913 ounces at total cash costs of $759 per ounce.

Aurizon also completed the 2012 drill program at the Heva and Hosco West Extension areas, in which 34 drill holes intersected mineralization exceeding 3.0 grams per tonne (g/t) of gold over a minimum true width of 3.0 meters, down to a maximum depth of 400 meters. The Company expects to complete an in-pit resource for the property in the first half of 2013. Full Aurizon Mines Press Release.
AURIZON MINES Digging for gold in the minesDeep in the MinesDescending to find gold

 

HIGHLIGHTS:
  • Operating profit margin of $894 per ounce
  • Cash balance of $199 million with no debt
  • Exploration activities in the fourth quarter 2012 will concentrate on the compilation and interpretation of data at the Heva and Hosco West Extension areas
  • Aurizon will also focus on resource updates on the Marban and Heva projects and regional exploration at the Company's early stage projects
George Paspalas, CEO of Aurizon Mines:
"We continue to believe that Casa Berardi is a long-life asset in a favourable mining jurisdiction with ongoing excellent exploration potential. The key elements that we are focusing on at Casa Berardi will be the introduction of the East Mine Crown Pillar open pit, and the mining of the Principal area of the West Mine from the existing 280 level drift, which will complement mining of the remaining ore blocks in the West Mine area and the new 118 and 123 Zones."

 

AURIZON MINES VS. S&P, XAU
AURIZON MINES vs S&P500 and XAU

 

Paolo Lostritto, National Bank Financial:
"Balance sheet in good shape to add near-term growth via acquisition…We continue to expect the company to put their balance sheet to work and grow via acquisition in the near-term potentially taking advantage of current market valuations."

AURIZON GOLD PRODUCTION
Aurizon Mines GOLD PRODUCTION growth year over year

 

 

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