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3-Year Low in Gold Sentiment – a Bullish or Bearish Sign?

Monday, December 19, 2011, 1:20pm EST Written by GoldAlert Staff.
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contrarian indicator

With gold futures oscillating around the $1,600 per ounce level on Monday, the yellow metal is now 16.8% below its $1,923 all-time high reached on September 6th of this year.  As gold has tumbled in recent months, sentiment toward the yellow metal has fallen in-kind.

While gold sentiment has experienced several meaningful drops since the depths of the financial crisis in 2008, the latest decline is now the most significant in three years.  As of last Thursday, MarketVane’s Bullish Consensus reading for gold came in at 58% – the lowest since December 2008 – according to MarketWatch’s Peter Brimelow.  Prior to that, it reached 49% in September 2008.  In September 2011, alternatively, it surged to 88%.  At other times in recent years, levels over 90% have been associated with intermediate-term tops in the gold price.

Sentiment has historically been one of the most accurate contrarian indicators for gold prices, and therefore suggests that the yellow metal may now be at or near an intermediate-term bottom.

However, it is important to note that sentiment is only one of many bullish or bearish factors that influence even short-term movements in the price of gold.

Monday, November 21, 2011, 10:19am EST

Aurizon Mines Advances Duvay Gold Project

AURIZON MINES (ARZ.TSX, AMEX: AZK) announced an update on field operations at the Duvay Gold Project, located in the Abitibi Greenstone Belt approximately 17 kilometres northeast of Amos, in Duverny township, Quebec. Under an option agreement with Tres-Or Resources, Aurizon can earn a 50% interest in the Project by making cash payments of C$1.5 million and completing C$6.5 million work, of which C$2.5 million is a firm commitment. Tres-Or is the operator of the Duvay Gold Project. Full Aurizon Mines Press Release.
AURIZON MINES Digging for gold in the minesDeep in the MinesDescending to find gold

 

George Paspalas, President and CEO:
"We are very pleased with the results our team have delivered this quarter… we are seeing greater margins as lower operating costs on a per ounce basis complement higher gold prices…This increased operating margin is improving all financial metrics significantly compared to corresponding periods."

HIGHLIGHTS:
  • The current field operations at Duvay are centered around a mini-bulk sampling program and drilling
  • The first two pit sample concentrates have been shipped to an independent laboratory for analysis by fire assay; processing of the third mini-bulk sample has commenced
  • Results from the first 13 hole drill program included the intersection of 83.19 grams per tonne of gold over 1.0 meters.

 

AURIZON MINES VS. S&P, XAU
AURIZON MINES vs S&P500 and XAU

 

Paul Burchell, Dundee Securities:
"We are maintaining our BUY rating and 12-month price target of C$8.50/share."

AURIZON GOLD PRODUCTION
Aurizon Mines GOLD PRODUCTION growth year over year

 

 

INTERACTIVE AURIZON MINES CHART
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