Gold futures dropped Tuesday, with the COMEX December 2011 contract settling lower by $9.80, or 0.6%, at $1,661.00 per ounce. The yellow metal traded above $1,680 in overnight trading, but turned lower as the U.S. dollar rallied against a basket of foreign currencies later this morning.
With its decline, gold futures are now 13.7% below their $1,923.70 all-time record high, reached on September 6. Due in part to the yellow metal’s recent weakness, a relatively small but growing list of investment banks have recently lowered their 2011 and/or 2012 gold price forecasts.
Last week, UBS cut its 1-month target by 9.0% to $1,775 per ounce and its 3-month by 7.1% to $1,950 per ounce. “Our core bullish view on gold remains unchanged and the light nature of [speculative] positioning is a big positive, but our previous one-and three-month [prices]…are overly ambitious given the recent slowdown in market momentum,” UBS wrote.
This morning, Societe Generale reduced its 2012 estimate to $2,175 from $2,275 per ounce. While the firm noted it remains broadly bullish on the yellow metal, gold’s decline over the past month has somewhat tempered SocGen’s positive outlook.


