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“The Downgrade Will Hurt the Dollar More than Bonds”

Monday, August 8, 2011, 12:46pm EDT Written by GoldAlert Staff.
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more than bonds

S&P’s downgrade of the United States’ credit rating to AA+ from AAA will have a much more negative impact on the value of the U.S. dollar than that of U.S. government bonds, according to Jeffrey Gundlach.

The founder of DoubleLine Capital and one of the world’s most respected bond investors, Gundlach discussed the implications of the U.S. downgrade in an interview with CNBC on Monday.

Gundlach argued that the downgrade is actually more of a referendum on the dollar rather than U.S. Treasuries, due to the fact that America’s ability to pay its debt obligations remains a virtual certainty because the dollar remains the world’s reserve currency and the government can continue to print money to fund its obligations.

Therefore, holders of Treasuries should not be concerned that they may not receive interest payments on government bonds.  However, the value of those payments is what has essentially declined, given the fact that with more dollars in circulation due to the printing presses, the value of each dollar by definition declines.

While Gundlach did not specifically discuss gold, the implications of a weaker dollar and higher bond prices (lower yields) are unequivocally bullish for the price of the yellow metal.  This is the case because in such a scenario, gold is denominated in dollars and the opportunity cost of holding an asset such as gold that does not pay interest has fallen.

Tuesday, August 2, 2011, 2:59pm EDT

Platinum Group Metals Secures $260 Million Loan

Platinum Group Metals (PLG.NYSE AMEX) announced that it has entered into a mandate letter with Barclays Capital, The Standard Bank of South Africa, West LB AG and Caterpillar Financial SARL for a $260 million project finance loan to develop its Western Bushveld Joint Venture (WBJV) Project 1 Platinum Mine. The proposal has preliminary approval of each of the proposed lenders but is subject to due diligence, final credit approval and execution of a loan agreement.

An Updated Feasibility Study published for the WBJV Project 1 Platinum Mine in October 2009 planned for a steady state production rate of 275,000 4E ounces (platinum, palladium, rhodium and gold) per year at a capital cost of $443 million. Of the required capital cost, a fully funded Phase 1 $100 million surface establishment and underground decline development program is already in progress. Full Platinum Group Metals News Release.
Platinum Group Metals Digging in the MInesPlatinum Deep in the MinesDescending to find Platinum

 


HIGHLIGHTS:
  • The $260 million senior loan includes a term of nine years, an additional working capital facility up to $25 million, and a standby subordinate loan facility for cost overruns, if any.
  • The proposal includes a hedging strategy that maximizes the hedging of byproducts such as palladium, gold and nickel - thereby minimizing the ounces of platinum hedged over the loan life.
  • The lending group of banks has a global presence, direct platinum industry experience and includes two of South Africa's major banks. Each bank has a defined role in order to assist with efficiency and a timely closing, currently expected by November 30, 2011.

 

R. Michael Jones, President & CEO:
"This is a significant step forward and these project finance investment banks join an impressive list of institutional shareholders. We have a near surface, low cost, high grade, well designed mine, at a good time for platinum. Our investor and banking groups acknowledge, by their participation, that we have a robust project and South Africa is open for business."

 

Andrew Mikitchook, GMP Securities:
"We view the debt announcement as an important risk reduction catalyst for PTM. Our valuation thesis for PTM of mining shallow, high-grade, low cost, low capex ounces is reinforced by bringing in senior and credible debt partners…Importantly, as well, PTM’s start of the ramp sinking is keeping the project on schedule for a 2013 startup."

 


PLATINUM TO FOLLOW SILVER?
Silver SLV vs Platinum PLTM

 

INTERACTIVE PLATINUM GROUP METALS
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